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      Beyer speed figure formula. Types of Speed Figures.



      • Beyer speed figure formula The difference was mild, but it showed TimeformUS rated Justify higher. TimeformUS Speed Figures are different from Beyer Speed Figures and uniquely account for the pace of each race. Horses race in varying weather, track surfaces, and race distances. I view the differences in two ways. The Beyer Speed Figure is calculated by looking at the final time and distance of the race, adjusted by the track variant, which is a measure of the inherent speed of the racetrack in question. The Beyer Speed Figures published by The Daily Racing Form are regarded as Dec 16, 2014 · For example, there is a summer meet in AZ at Prescott (pronounced PRESS-cut by 'zonies , not Pres-COTT). However, local track programs still use track par numbers, making it important that you know how to interpret both. These figures started to be published in the Daily Racing Form, and thus the Beyer Speed Figure (often just referred to as “the Beyer”) was born. In the 1970’s, Beyer Speed Figures were created to compare horses across the country. I am clear on how Beyer Speed Figures are calculated, but I would like to know if anyone has the exact formula (as exact as possible) that Racing Post and Timeform use in their ratings. Oct 16, 2018 · While Beyer downgraded his speed figure on Bolt because it reflected the best 2-year-old number in 25 years (an unlikely scenario from his perspective), TimeformUS actually left its figure alone. If this horse ran an 80 last time on an easy lead and a speed favoring surface he is unlikely to replicate that in a race full of speed on a fair surface. In the early 1970â s, a man named Andrew Beyer changed the way people bet on horses by developing the speed figure. With previously unavailabl­e data now at our disposal, we have revised the formula to make adjustment­s that were demonstrab­ly more accurate. Feb 8, 2000 · Speed figures are the way, the truth and the light. 4 With the recent changes to TURF figs, I heard there are some changes. It quantifies a horse’s performance by factoring in: Final Time: The horse’s race time compared to a par time for the track and distance. Brooklyn ‘In the early 90s, I hung out with a money-making professional horseplayer who had no other income, a rare animal indeed. Here are the figures for last week's highest-rated stakes winners, ranked by Brisnet Speed Ratings, with Beyer Speed Figures from Daily Racing Form . Beyer Speed Figures appear exclusively in Daily Racing Form. horse racing. 15 short of a full point. Winner: Mischevious Alex (109 Beyer) Sire: Into Mischief. Some of the best fillies and mares in the world will soon descend on Southern California for the Breeders' Cup. We are confident in judgments based on figures from 1989 to the May 17, 2024 · Beyer Speed Figures are calculated using a formula that takes into account the length of the race, the track condition, the weight carried by the horse, the class of the race, and the speed of the horse. This helps you compare horses who raced on different days or tracks. 59 - 3lbs = 56. In 1991, The Racing Times, an upstart newspaper founded by Steven Crist, put Beyer Speed Figures into print for the first time. Thorpedo Anna, the dominant filly of the 3-year-old division, will be an aberration in multiple ways if she can Exclusive Beyer Speed Figures View Details TimeformUS. Blenheim Publishing, LLC 3070 Lakecrest Circle, Suite 400 different generations, but speed figures provide an objective assessment of hors-es’ talent regardless of when and where they ran. 25 / Save with plans! TimeformUS PPs Starting from $4. And while Classic Playboy owned some impressive Beyer figures (the "85" in his last race was at least six points higher than any other horse in the race) his SR-TV combinations were not that dominant. Still others say that 14 will produce the magic number. View information about the top race horses and their winnings at DRF. As I kept reading What Are Beyer Speed Figures? The Beyer Speed Figure (BSF) is a proprietary metric developed by Andrew Beyer and used in the Daily Racing Form (DRF). 4 points or 1-fifth sec =2. Anyone know for sure what the beaten length formula is for: 5 1/2 F 6F 6 1/2F 7F 1M 1 1/16 1 1/8 #horseracing The process of making speed figures in Horse Racing. I think the math below is correct. Why Are Beyer Speed Figures Important? Beyer Speed Figures are a game-changer in the realm of horse racing betting because they distill many complex factors into a single Yes, the book "Picking Winners" explains it, and although the method has been refined a bit since the book's publication, it does explain how to calculate Speed Figures. Rooted in logic and mathematics, the calculations behind the numbers Jul 7, 2009 · I can convert a Beyer to a Quirin quite easily ((Beyer Fig - 83)/Value of 1/5th at Distance) + 100, but because Quirin bases his figures on the 1 length = 1/5th rule of thumb, if I try and figure the Beyers of the horses behind the winner, a horse 1 length behind the winner will have a Quirin . The correlation coefficients which measure the closeness of the fit between PFs and the other figures are displayed as well Jul 8, 2006 · Actually, Beyer has told people that Secretariat's Belmont turned up like a 153 Beyer speed figure or something crazy like that in their first few calculatings of it based on their formula - but then they adjusted it because they weren't going to give that much credit when they didn't have all of the proper variables at the time to better Nov 5, 2024 · For more on speed figures, see Horse Racing Nation’s database of the top speed figures of the year, where you can sort runners by age, sex, surface and distance. 90 on a fast track, Fierceness earned a 112 Brisnet Speed Rating, a 105 Beyer Speed Figure and a 122 TimeformUS Speed Figure. Sep 20, 2023 · There are several speed figure systems available to handicappers, including Beyer Speed Figures and TimeformUS Speed Figures. Most of these players will use The Beyer numbers. Below is a closer look at this year's best Beyer Speed Figures, TimeformUS Figures and HRN Speed Figures for the prospective 2023 Breeders' Cup Dec 1, 2019 · Mean Beyer Speed Figure: Originally introduced in Picking Winners (Beyer, 1994), the Beyer Speed Figure is system for rating a horse’s performance in a race that is comparable across different tracks, distances, and going (track conditions). May 19, 2023 · If Beyer Speed Figures are any judge, the rest of the field will have a tough time catching these top horses in the Preakness Stakes. Second, the "raw" figure is adjusted by the appropriate calculated track variant which is specific to a track, distance and surface. the Beyer Speed Figure came back a 113 Oct 24, 2016 · Beyer Speed Figures. page/2020ebfe81📗Subscribe to the FREE Tri Then along came "Washington Post" racing writer and avid horse player Andy Beyer, who, in the 1970s, explained how to calculate a sophisticated set of speed figures in several books. The truth is, there are many ways to try and calculate a horse’s speed rating. watching how races are run in terms of pace, trouble, and Sep 3, 2022 · Reach for the superlatives: Flightline and jockey Flavien Prat after a truly astonishing performance in the Pacific Classic. Anyone know for sure what the beaten length formula is for: 5 1/2 F 6F 6 1/2F 7F 1M 1 1/16 1 1/8 Jun 21, 2022 · Initially, the formula employed by Beyer to calculate his speed figures was rather basic but has since developed into a complicated technique sold solely by the Daily Racing Form. time of race changed, reported beaten lengths changed) • Upgrade in method The subject is "Beyer on Speed" and 'speed ratings'. Oct 15, 2018 · When he wrote Picking Winners in 1975, Andrew Beyer told the world exactly how he generated his numbers, and his formula has stood the test of time. 25 / Card New TFUS Pace Projector Beyer Speed Figure Question The Paddock. All ratings provided before a race are a prediction of what the speed rating may be. But all three of these runners prefer to be forwardly placed, and something will have to give on race day. Time and again people have given Zenyatta consistently low speed figures, but yet somehow the mighty mare remains undefeated. Beyer Speed Figures, found in the Daily Racing Form for North American races, were introduced in 1992 using a formula by Andrew Beyer. If you went by his "Beyer Figure's" on Zenyatta, she'd be 0-14 instead of 14-0. Nov 14, 2015 · In determinin­g figures for the losers in any race, we have translated beaten lengths into Beyer points by using a formula that hasn’t changed since “Picking Winners” was published in 1975. ” Speed figures, like the well-known Beyer Speed Figures, are calculated using a formula that adjusts the raw race time by track conditions and other factors, providing a better measure of a horse’s performance than just the finishing time alone. Subtract 12 from the winning time Speed Rating number of 100 and you have 88, this is the number that your horse earned in that race. Hopefully this provokes some discussion It has been a while since I read "Beyer on Speed" but from what I recall, the figure would not take into account the slow-pace and this is why speed figures are largely misunderstood and not trusted (somewhat incorrectly) Top 10 Beyer Speed Figures of 2021. Dec 21, 2017 · DA: Explain the TimeformUS Pace Figure scale, and how it should be used in combination with Beyer Speed Figures. Oct 28, 2004 · Some people employed the formula of Timeform minus 12 equals Beyer Figure. Country House was the last exception three years ago. Basically, it tries to answer the question “how fast did this horse run considering the track surface, race length, competition level, etc. Speed figures translate a horse’s raw time in a race into a standardized number. Andy Beyer and his Beyer Speed Figures had a “$50,000 year at the races,” William Scott touted his ability in Investing at the Racetrack, William Quirin gave us his speed points, and Tom Brohamer focused on velocities, to name a few. The inherent speed of the track and the speed of the race, and the speed of the horse are the main components of the number. However, Immersive is a Grade 1 winner over both one and two bends. In another, I capped that Beyer Figure if it was more than 10 points higher than the maximum figure recorded in the horse’s preceding five starts. The methodology I used in 1975 has really stood the time of Beyer’s subsequent books, “My $50,000 Year at the Races” (1978), “The Winning Horseplayer” (1983), and “Beyer on Speed” (1993) continued to raise racing fans’ awareness of the importance of speed figures. I found a point of equivalence for both Timeform and Beyer equal to a zero in TG. I use my own speed figures in the UK but they are derived from the Beyer methodology. CM: The TimeformUS Pace Figure scale is similar to the Timeform scale. Figure Makers: How Speed Ratings Are Created. #horseracing Free Tip Sheet for Travers, Saratoga, Breeder's Cup, Whitney 📒 Sign Up. These figures provide a standardized rating that reflects a horse’s performance in a specific race, considering factors such as track condition, distance, and racing tactics. Now, this is incredibly difficult to determine, especially because the going changes, the rails move (which changes the distance) and there are very few good races at some tracks. Mage was a marginal exception, because he had a 94 coming out of his runner-up finish in the Grade 1 Florida Derby. Don't know the formula or rationale behind it, and can't seem to find the definition anywhere, but that's what it is. Speed figures have changed over the years; the Daily Racing Form uses an exclusive system designed by Andrew Beyer now. There, he shows how to integrate speed figures with insights gained from trip handicapping, i. Nov 11, 2012 · Performance Figures (PF) Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) Timeform Ratings (TR) Racing Post Ratings (RPR) BRIS Ratings (BRIS) Equibase Speed Figures (EB) “These ratings numbers apply to races for older males in open company. Types of Speed Figures. By combining a horse’s final-time figure, pace figures, and running style into one number, we form what we believe is a state-of-the-art single-number measure of all-around performance. Speed ratings are undoubtedly predictive (undoubted because you can prove this statistically), and any handicapper who does not use some sort of speed Oct 25, 2024 · Beyer Speed Figures would agree, as both colts have gained the top figures. The last five runnings of the Kentucky Derby produced winning Beyer Speed Figures of After all these adjustments, the final Beyer Speed Figure is derived, which is a far more meaningful representation of the horse’s performance than the raw speed figure. Speed Figures TrackMaster utilizes Speed Figures which are calculated in three basic steps. But, the Beyer Speed Figure team decided he earned a 104. She Won By 15 Lengths, And That's Accurate . Derby Trail Forums > Main Forum > The Paddock: Beyer Speed Figure Question Oct 17, 2018 · In the first two parts of our series on speed figures, we’ve seen two contrasting approaches for analyzing how fast racehorses run — Beyer Speed Figures and Jun 7, 2024 · Beyer Speed Figure: Race Before Belmont Victory; 2023 - Arcangelo : Peter Pan Stakes: 97: 2022 - Mo Donegal: Kentucky Derby: 96: 2021 - Essential Quality: Kentucky Derby May 4, 2015 · I have a friend who devised his own method and, at one time, I compiled figures based on his formula. Then along came "Washington Post" racing writer and avid horse player Andy Beyer, who, in the 1970s, explained how to calculate a sophisticated set of speed figures in several Apr 17, 2020 · The Daily Racing Form is the exclusive outlet for the Beyer Speed Figures, listing them in its past performances that also include running lines, a pace figure, some pertinent stats, info on turf and mud breeding, workouts, and a couple of sentences about the horses chances. 5 12/18/1994 107 CRYPTIC BID AQU 7 12/02/1994 SPEED FIGURES AND CLASS RATINGS - ENHANCEMENTS AND ADJUSTMENTS In order to provide the most effective numbers, speed figures and class ratings are subject to change, including, but not limited for the following reasons: • Update/correction to underlying data (i. Route races have two pace figures and one final figure. Look for consistent improvement in speed figures over a horse’s recent races – this is a vital sign that the horse is getting fitter and faster, even if it hasn’t won yet. In one instance, I generated a random number between 60 and 120 to represent the raw Beyer Figure assigned in each race. Would someone mind checking it? Beyer Speed Figures are calculated using a combination of factors that translate a horse’s raw race time into a comparative score: Final Time: The actual time it took for the horse to complete the race. A good horse generally holds a Jun 29, 2010 · Because my pace figures use the Beyer Speed Figure final-time variant, a slow and sandy surface such as Calder's needs such an adjustment, since the deceleration effects of the deeper surface are more pronounced at the finish line than after a quarter-mile. “If you want to make Beyer Speed Figures you can still a buy a copy of ‘Picking Winners’ and do it yourself. e. Find out how to identify profitable patterns and opportunities in the figures and how to bet on them. Some of the most popular types include: Beyer Speed Figures (BSF). 2-year-olds, 1994 Beyer No. Therefore, subtracting the large variant from the speed figure will add insult to injury. So, a horse who is stepping up in class but has been posting recent Beyer Speed Figures in the 90's may in reality be simply faster than a horse dropping out of seemingly better races, but who Dec 21, 2007 · I have converted BRIS ratings to Beyer ratings with a formula that was once posted on this forum. You will probably find that the Speed Rating number is close to the same number provided by the SIM, but the Speed Rating number is based on a raw speed time without other factors that make up the Speed Figure. Mar 21, 2016 · Has the Speed Figure Chart for Beyer Speed Figures changed? I know the 6F beaten length equivalent to be 2. The timeform rating in the form is a handicap rating or collateral form rating. Compiling speed ratings is easy Dawn Approach ended up as my highest rated 2yo with a speed figure The standings are based on totals and percentages for progeny who surpass specific Beyer Speed Figure benchmarks in North American races (90 and higher for horses 3 and older and 80 and higher for What kenwood offers is a good rule of thumb, ie deduct about 14pts from the timeform rating for a comparison with the Beyer figure. We look at the speed figure char Daily Racing Form provides the top 25 race horses ranked by earnings. After I wrote a column two weeks ago entitled “Kentucky Derby Beyers are on the wane,” I noticed some of the comments. Beyer, a columnist for the Washington Post and a respected handicapper, believed that bettors could select more winners if they were able to put a number on how fast a horse ran in a given race. It really did help. https://derbyologist-1689. Beyer Speed Figures are interchangeable from track to track and from distance to distance. Jockey: Irad Ortiz Jr. According to all the different speed figures, 3-year-olds stack up well with their older counterparts this Has the Speed Figure Chart for Beyer Speed Figures changed? I know the 6F beaten length equivalent to be 2. One day, I was scoffing at some of Bert Norman’s stuff when my pal took exceptions. Oct 29, 2020 · Beyer Speed Figure . This video explains the process of making speed figures. Oct 6, 2020 · Each one inspiring handicappers to try the new magic angle or figure that will reap them rewards at the track. A “good” Beyer Speed Figure, also known as the Beyer Figure, was developed by Daily Racing Form founder Andrew Beyer, who wanted to come up with a way to rate horses’ performances more accurately and objectively than could be done by simple observation. Similarly, 18 of the last 23 had a top Brisnet rating of 100 or more. You should add the variant to get a "normalized" speed figure. Single Cards $4. Free Preakness Contest: Hit A Trifecta, Win $150 Full 2023 Preakness Stakes Field, Odds Developed by Andrew Beyer, Beyer Speed Figures are widely regarded as one of the most popular and influential speed figures in horse racing. Jan 10, 2023 · Beyer Speed Figures is a rating system created by Washington Post columnist Andy Beyer. They Apr 13, 2022 · (Since they have yet to race in North America, the two UAE Derby horses do not have Quirin Speed Points. Big Bill If you want to convert to Beyer Speed Figure (BSF) we can use the following from “Beyer on Speed” page 20. If you have ever purchased a Daily Racing Form to handicap the races, you’ve probably noticed the Beyer Speed Figure in the past performance of Champion 2-year-old male Dehere had one of the highest Beyer Speed Figures of the season, but Valiant Nature earned the highest when beating Breeders’ Cup Juvenile winner Brocco in the Hollywood Futurity. My figures are typically close to the Beyer Speed Figures, but some discrepancies do occur. Anyone know for sure what the beaten length formula is for: 5 1/2 F 6F 6 1/2F 7F 1M 1 1/16 1 1/8 Oct 25, 2024 · Beyer Speed Figures would agree, as both colts have gained the top figures. Apr 12, 2023 · This is where more numbers come into play, specifically Beyer Speed Figures from Daily Racing Form, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures. May 26, 2011 · Examine the Beyer speed figure for each horse in its prior four races, then find the total score from each horse's two best results. Reviewers likened it to the Herbert Yardley Sep 22, 2022 · The Beyer Speed Figure is a complex mathematical formula created by renowned researcher Andrew Beyer that attempts to rate the performance of a horse based on both time and competition. Good speed ratings begin with a good set of par times. PP lines from Prescott are virtually ignored when the meet closes and (some of) the entries ship to Turf Paradise. Apr 5, 2019 · To demonstrate this I ran 10 simulations of 25 races each. How to Calculate Speed Figures in Horse Racing. Horse TrackDist Date 111 AFTERNOON DEELITES HOL 8. The Beyer Speed Figure is a system for rating the performance of Thoroughbred racehorses in North America designed in the early 1970s by Andrew Beyer, the syndicated horse racing columnist for The Washington Post. My point is that very few handicappers will actually calculate their own speed ratings. Race: Carter Handicap (G1) at Aqueduct Racetrack. Anyone know for sure what the beaten length formula is for: 5 1/2 F 6F 6 1/2F 7F 1M 1 1/16 1 1/8 I can convert a Beyer to a Quirin quite easily ((Beyer Fig - 83)/Value of 1/5th at Distance) + 100, but because Quirin bases his figures on the 1 length = 1/5th rule of thumb, if I try and figure the Beyers of the horses behind the winner, a horse 1 length behind the winner will have a Quirin . Big Bill Oct 19, 2023 · Always remember, you can only calculate a speed rating after a race, once you calculate the average time for the meeting and distance. For example, Justify earned a 131 TimeformUS Speed Figure in his career debut. The higher the Beyer Figure, the faster the horse ran in that … Aug 19, 2020 · On Equibase’s own figures, that’s exactly what happened. Different types of speed figures are available to bettors, and each has its own calculation method. Sep 8, 2020 · The formula Beyer used to construct his speed figures was initially fairly simple, but it has since evolved into a proprietary complex system that is marketed exclusively by the Daily Racing Form. Jun 15, 2023 · Saratoga-bound Cody’s Wish records best Beyer of 2023. USA: After drawing comparisons with the legendary Secretariat for his extraordinary 19-length romp in Saturday’s Pacific Classic at Del Mar, Flightline has been awarded a Beyer speed figure of 126 – the second-highest in 31 years. TFUS Speed Figures. Covering the 1 1/16 miles in 1:41. What Do Speed Figures Mean in Racing? There are several different variations of speed figures, such as Brisnet, Track Master, and others. Apr 2, 2019 · Remember, the scale difference is 20 points. CHARGE IT also posted a 106 Beyer in the Suburban Stakes (G2) at a 1 ¼ mile with his 4 ¾-length victory, tying the highest figure of all horses going that The benefit of speed figures is that it allows you to compare horses that ran at different tracks on different days in different races because they are all being assigned figures using the same universal measure. Jun 26, 2013 · TimeformUS Speed Figures are a breakthrough rating combining the horse’s final time, the pace at which the horse ran, and the pace of the race in which he ran. The DRF publishes a Beyer Speed Figure for every horse in every race. In the last 31 years, 27 cashable winners came into the Derby with a best Beyer of at least 95. Beyer Speed Figures express how fast a horse has run in each of his starts. Horse racing has some similarities to cross country. Every performance by every horse in North America is assigned a Beyer number which reflects the time of the race and the inherent speed of the track over which it was run, permitting easy comparisons of efforts at different distances. Sep 7, 2017 · The speed figure on a slow track will be lower than a fast track and the variant will be higher. The Race 8 winner – Sacred Sho Grl – received a 64 Equibase Speed Figure while Race 6 winner Coast to Coast received a 49. October 24, 2024 . Beyer Speed Figures. I just happen to know where you can get the best par times available anywhere for the track-to-track adjustments that must be made. Mistake 1: Overreliance. Nov 12, 2015 · Beyer Speed Figures have undergone relatively few changes during the 23 years that they have been part of Daily Racing Form. Nothing personal, but his figure's are so overrated it's pathetic. Seize the Grey continually improved his BSFs, topping out with a 100 at the Preakness. (Legend has it Beyer Sep 14, 2004 · Does anyone know where I can get an Equibase speed figure par chart like the one for Beyer speed figures in James Quinn's Handicapper's Condition Book? Personally, I've never seen one for Equibase numbers. Award four points to the highest score and two points to the horse with the second highest score. DRF sells past performances via print and online, and electronically Feb 28, 2019 · I was reading some old threads about making speed ratings and also looking at some books by Beyer and am trying to understand how to determine the value of a Beyer Speed Point for various fractions of a second. We look at Beyer Speed Figu Jun 10, 2011 · But in 1975, Beyer published “Picking Winners,” a book about his speed figures, and changed the way bettors and handicappers waged their dollars. S. He won the 1-mile Dwyer (G3) contest by an astounding 23 lengths, earning a career-best 111 Beyer Speed Figure. Developed by Andrew Beyer and published in the Daily Racing Form, Beyer Speed Figures are the most widely used speed figures in U. This provides a way to compare horses that have not raced under the same circumstances. Jul 3, 2019 · What are speed ratings? Speed ratings are derived from horse racing. This enables different horses running at different racetracks to be objectively compared. There are many pitfalls in using speed as the sole method of rating horses, but to have an educated idea as to how fast (or slow) a horse can ACTUALLY run, a speed ratings database will be of enormous benefit to you, however basic that database may be. I have converted BRIS ratings to Beyer ratings with a formula that was once posted on this forum. How Beyer speed numbers are calculated. Photo: Benoit. Howevee, race lens uses Equibase speed figures in lieu of beyers, and I prefer not to purchase two forms of pp’s. Sprints have one pace figure and one final figure. It's a system that rates horses at different distances and at all racetracks, and gives a better indication of a horses overall ability. Jan 2, 2024 · Remarkably, Beyer’s speed figures and formula have withstood the test of time and his 1975 book is as valuable and informative now as it was when it was first published. At 6f one length = 2. May 17, 2024 · Beyer has opined that Secretariat’s romp to the Triple Crown in the 1973 Belmont Stakes would have earned a 139-speed figure if his system existed then. After the conversion to a Beyer rating I've extracted the variant in accordance with Beyer's instructions on how to do it in his book, Beyer on Speed, page 134. CHARGE IT registered Beyer Speed Figures of 100 or higher on four occasions. Oct 23, 2024 · Rated by Merit was awarded a 99 Beyer Speed Figure for his easy victory here last Saturday in the seven-furlong Affirmed Stakes. These systems use slightly different methods to calculate speed figures, but the basic idea is the same: the higher the speed figure, the better the horse’s performance. Apr 19, 2021 · In the 2021 Run for the Roses, Beyer Speed Figures, Brisnet Speed Ratings and TimeformUS Speed Figures show just how competitive and evenly matched this year's field is. Nov 4, 2022 · Flightline’s average Beyer Speed figure for his five races is 115—a number that no other horse in the Classic field of eight has produced on their very best day. Anyone know for sure what the beaten length formula is for: 5 1/2 F 6F 6 1/2F 7F 1M 1 1/16 1 1/8 Mar 21, 2016 · Has the Speed Figure Chart for Beyer Speed Figures changed? I know the 6F beaten length equivalent to be 2. Jul 13, 2022 · Learn how to use Beyer Speed Figures to compare and evaluate horse performances at different distances and tracks. The problem with both speed figures and variants is that they are based on lengths or fifths of Not sure what the formula is but the speed figure is a different way of calculating a beyer. First, a "raw" figure is computed using the actual race time and a complex formula. 8 points and at 8f one length = 1. That is the highest number posted by any 2-year-old in 2024. To calculate a speed figure, we first need a standard time for each CD. In the example from the DRF, Farnum Alley ran a 79 and an 80 in the last two races. A. May 2, 2024 · Of the Derby’s last 32 cashable winners, 27 came in with a best Beyer Speed Figure of at least 95, according to Daily Racing Form. Some say 13 should be subtracted. Apr 26, 2024 · Speed Figures. Figure Makers: Hard-Core Computing. Essentially the Beyer Speed Figure is a measurement where the Beyer number is a reflection of both the speed of the track when the race was run combined with the finishing time of the race. Track Variant: Adjustments made for track conditions, such as firm, good, sloppy, or yielding. But the Beyer Speed Figures for the two horses were nearly the same – Race 8 winner Sacred Sho Grl received a 45 while Race 6 winner Coast to Coast received The formula for determining the 100 speed index time is fairly simple – the three fastest times from each of the past three years at each distance (a total of nine A handicapping tool, popularized by author Andrew Beyer, assigning a numerical value (speed figure) to each race run by a horse based on final time and track condition. ) Since 1992, 27 of 30 horses who were declared the Derby’s official winners on race day carried a best Beyer Speed Figure of at least 95 into the race, as reported by Daily Racing Form. com today. 5%); 11 of the previous 14 posted a 100+ BSF. Since Beyer first presented his speed figures in the 1970s, numerous other horse racing interests have also developed their metrical version. Nov 17, 2010 · First and foremost, it was a fascinating explanation of how to compile your own speed figures based on the formula Beyer developed after leaving Harvard University in 1965. Their purpose is to offer a numerical representation of a horse's speed in a race, standardized across various tracks, distances, and surfaces. Beyer Speed Figure is a performance measuring tool for North American horse racing created during the 1970's by Andrew Beyer. Com - Horse Racing Message Board > Thoroughbred Horse Racing Discussion > General Handicapping Discussion In the early 1970s, a racing columnist for the Washington Post named Andrew Beyer developed a standardized formula for determining speed figures. The decline in speed figures earned by 3-year-olds in the spring has certainly been dramatic. SPONSORED BY Breeding Today WITH EXCLUSIVE BEYER SPEED FIGURE REPORTS MONDAY, OCTOBER 6, 2014, TOP BUYERS the BEST BUYERS FOR STAKES, MALES PAGE 10 BEST BUYERS FOR STAKES, FEMALES TOP STORIES Pensioned Jun 10, 2024 · According to Beyer Speed Figures, Mystik Dan has the highest ceiling to run down Mindframe; he posted his 101 in the Southwest Derby and followed it up with an opportune 100 at the Kentucky Derby. . For the example below you see the speed figures used by Daily Racing Form (Beyer Speed Figures) for two horses running against each ‘I recall that Beyer commented once that Bert Norman calculated an extremely complicated speed figure. Let’s talk about some common pitfalls that can turn your betting dream into a nightmare. His top speed figure—126 in Feb 9, 2013 · So if Dawn Approach had carried 8-11 we would have had to subtract 3lb from his speed figure i. Subtract 20 points, and the Beyer equivalent is 111. Once you have arrived at any horses speed figure you could add the Weight for age allowance, I don't because it corrupts the ratings. But if you only read one of Beyer's works, go for The Winning Horseplayer. Oct 10, 2017 · To demonstrate this I ran 10 simulations of 25 races each. Nov 1, 2024 · Scottish Lassie is a big danger and has the highest ‘Beyer speed figure’ in the field and won the Grade 1 Frizette Stakes last time out. Trainer: Saffie Joseph Jr. A: These pace figures are based strictly on the same principles as Beyer Speed Figures. May 1, 2024 · Beyer Speed Figures (BSF) are among the most useful handicapping tools in Kentucky Derby betting. Horse Racing Forum - PaceAdvantage. 8 points. The reason for this: the Beyer Speed Figures are based on times at a certain class level, and the Speed Rating and Track Variant are raw numbers. The Daily Racing Form is among the most popular and trusted source, as the publication retains exclusive rights to Beyer Speed Figures, which have for years been considered the gold standard. Mar 30, 2006 · I developed a formula similar to the one used to convert Celsius to Fahrenheit and vice-versa. ’ Dave Simpson. The track variant considers both the historical average time at the racetrack for the distance in question, called the "par time", and the average speed May 5, 2011 · The point of creating speed figures is to compare the "true" time of each horse compared to the relative quickness or slowness of the track surface on a particular day. Figure Makers: An Open Mind Rules The Beyer Method. The problem is that you are going to need to collect the historical finish times of the racetrack from a year ago. Nov 19, 2024 · For more on speed figures, see Horse Racing Nation’s database of the top speed figures of the year, where you can sort runners by age, sex, surface and distance. Groovy holds the record with a 133 in 1987. USA: Fan favorite Cody’s Wish produced the highest Beyer speed figure of 2023 to date with his impressive triumph in the Metropolitan Handicap (Met Mile) on the Belmont Stakes undercard on Saturday [June 10]. If this interests you let me know and I'll try and supply more information. Horse Racing Nation's figures favor Fierceness and Next. components of Quirin-style figures, a pace figure and a speed figure (final figure). It doesn't matter what the Beyer figures are, what the speed ratings are, what the class pars are, or that Prescott is a bullring. Nov 7, 2023 · With John Velazquez riding for trainer Todd Pletcher, the City of Light colt took the lead at the top of the stretch and widened it to win by 6 1/4 lengths over Muth. In the early years of the 21st century, Beyer speed figures began appearing in the "Daily Racing Form," so you no longer need to calculate your own figures. I then found the difference in the scales so for every X points above or below this point of equivalence you add or subtract Y points to the other scale. According to all the different speed figures, 3-year-olds stack up well with their older counterparts this The Daily Racing Form (the daily Bible for thoroughbred past performance programs sold at race tracks) eventually thought so highly of the method that they replaced their old speed ratings with the Beyer Speed Figures in 1992 the Beyer Speed Figure is now shown for every race performance for every thoroughbred horse listed in the Daily What are peoples thoughts on Beyers vs Equibase speed figures? I have always been a DRF PP user but have recently been using Race Lens which I find superior in terms of creating and tracking angles as well as performing searches on trainers, sires, etc. Post position/field size; position, lengths beaten/ahead at points of call, finish. That contest has produced four of the last six winners of this race. I didn't think it would cross over to the dirt side. Of the last 32 Kentucky Derby winners, 28 of them had posted at least a 95 BSF leading up to the race (87. My colleagues and I have been calculating figures since the late 1980s, and Beyer Speed Figures have been published in Daily Racing Form since 1992. Yes, Beyer Speed Figures are fantastic, but they’re not the be-all and end-all. If a front-runner gets away with a slow early pace, we will use Aug 23, 2024 · Beyer Speed Figures trends for the 1 1/4-mile classic support bettor confidence. Feb 23, 2014 · Beyer Speed Figures are calculated using a complex formula that takes into account the horse's final time, the track variant (adjustment for track conditions), and the race distance. A 140+ is a Mar 21, 2016 · Beyer Speed Figure Chart General Handicapping Discussion. The formula was developed by Andrew Beyer and is constantly updated to reflect changes in track conditions and other factors. In Beyer Speed Figures, if a $10,000 claiming race runs faster than a stakes race – and there are no mitigating circumstance such as a change in track-surface speed – then the $10,000 claimers get a high figure. Has the Speed Figure Chart for Beyer Speed Figures changed? I know the 6F beaten length equivalent to be 2. #horseracing #derbyologistHow to handicap and become a better horseplayer and betting strategies to help with your handicapping. ) The higher the Beyer Speed Figure, the better the performance. This differs from other types of speed figures such as the Beyer speed figures that are calculated using only the final time of the race. There is a great book by Nick Mordin called "Mordin on Time" that outlines how Beyer can be applied to UK. My racing form of choice is The Daily Racing Advance (and at times the pocket-sized Daily Racing Program by same company) Oct 23, 2023 · According to the speed figures, it would not be a surprise to see Clairiere or Le Da Vida close into a contested pace to run them all down. Beyer Speed Figures are a powerful tool, but like any tool, they can be misused. (The first race, with a 53, reflected his bad start, not his speed. In your opinion, why have the Beyer Figures for 3-year-olds headed to the Derby dropped so far in the past decade to 15 years? –Tony Mastropietro, Levittown, Pa. May 23, 2012 · This is Beyer Speed Figures 101, the remedial course. The factors that take them into account I know, what interests me is the calculation of the ratings itself. ck. You can now find Beyer Speed Figures in the Daily Racing Form -- they weren't there in 1975 when he wrote the book. Essential Quality , the likely favorite in the race, stands high above the rest of the field in terms of accomplishments, but his modest career high Beyer Speed Figure of 97 . The art of handicapping is to not just see a speed figure and stop there, it's to look at the figure and try to understand why it is what it is. Dec 2, 2005 · NEW YORK - The problems that arise when handicapping foreign imports through the conventional wisdom of subtracting 12, 13, or 14 from a Timeform rating in order to get a Beyer Speed Figure Nov 25, 2009 · Andrew Beyer for one. gfa sqzkra dnfxum pnd lpg mliupildz xtouio vbj vwnss aoyqd